Wednesday, April 22, 2015

April 26th Preview

Your training (for most of you, anyway) tops out at 11 miles this Sunday. It's the only time all spring that you go farther than the marathoners, whose taper starts this week at 10.

The route, starting at 8:00 from the Eugene Running Company, is the same as two weeks ago -- except longer: Oakway and Coburg Roads to Ferry Street Bridge and don't cross. Turn right onto bike path, to Valley River footbridge and across. Turn left, to Autzen footbridge and across. Continue to end of path at football stadium. Turn around at wooden footbridge and come back the same way: Autzen, Valley River, Ferry and store. GPS distance is 11.08 miles.

Bring a drink for delivery at four and seven miles (Ferry Street). Weather forecast: starting temperature in 40s and dry.

WEEK 7 LESSON: YOUR POTENTIAL

Question: What can I expect my half-marathon race time to be?

Answer: The best predictor of the final race result, I’ve found with previous marathon and half teams, is the pace of the longest training run. For a half-marathon, for instance, a runner who trained at 9:00 per mile (for the 11 miles at which our program peaks) can expect to finish the race at very close to that pace. Nearly all of our runners come within 15 seconds, plus or minus – or 8:45 to 9:15 in this example. As with any reliable gauge, this one isn’t based on what you dream of maybe doing someday but instead on what you really have done lately. I don’t say this to drain any of the mystery or surprise from your racing. Mainly I want you to know going into the race what a smart starting pace for you will be. Running at that rate early will assure a better finish.

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