An oddity of scheduling lets you run LONGER than our marathoners
this Sunday – 11 miles for you, 10 for them. It’s your longest planned distance
in this training cycle.
The route (with an eight o’clock start from the Eugene Running
Company): Oakway and Coburg Roads to Ferry Street Bridge and don’t cross. Turn
left onto bike path, then to Autzen footbridge and across. Past Valley River footbridge, to "1.0" milepost. Turn AROUND there and come back the same way: Autzen, Ferry and store. GPS distance is 10.95 miles.
Bring a drink for delivery at 4.2 miles and 6.7 miles (small playground at
“0.25” milepost). Weather forecast: starting temperature in 40s with rain
possible.
WEEK SEVEN LESSON: YOUR
POTENTIAL
Question: What
can I expect my half-marathon race time to be?
Answer: The
best predictor of the final race result, I’ve found with previous marathon and
half teams, is the pace of the longest training run. For a half-marathon, for
instance, a runner who trained at 9:00 per mile (for the 11 miles at which our
program peaks) can expect to finish the race at very close to that pace. Nearly
all of our runners come within 15 seconds, plus or minus – or 8:45 to 9:15 in
this example. As with any reliable gauge, this one isn’t based on what you
dream of maybe doing someday but instead on what you really have done lately. I
don’t say this to drain any of the mystery or surprise from your racing. Mainly
I want you to know going into the race what a smart starting pace for you will
be. Running at that rate early will assure a better finish.
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